Isolating the Signal in Behavioral Data.
Applying time-series analysis and changepoint detection algorithms to measure the true impact of behavioral interventions, policy shifts, and environmental nudges.
Beyond Anecdotal Outcomes.
ChangePoints explores the intersection of behavioral economics and rigorous data science. We dismantle historical case studies, analyze real-world environmental data, and apply statistical frameworks to determine exactly when and why human behavior shifts. This is an open archive of methodologies, algorithms, and applied behavioral science.
Interactive Change Point Playground
Compare how different statistical process control algorithms handle detecting an identical process shift introduced at sample 25.
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Why Your ESG Policy Impact Is an Illusion — And What the Data Actually Shows
ADAPTED FROM RESEARCH BY MATT WATSON, UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD TL;DR: The Illusion of ESG Target-Setting and the Reality of Human Practice Sustainability in turbulent times The Scene Looks Good From Up Here On a grey March morning in 2017, roughly 350 researchers, policymakers,…
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99% of Companies File ESG Reports. So Why Isn’t Anything Changing?
ADAPTED FROM RESEARCH BY MATT WATSON, UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD TL;DR: The Compliance Trap and Why Universal ESG Reporting Fails The Confidence Trap: When Reporting Becomes the Product ESG reporting is nearly universal, ESG regulation has exploded, and ESG investment has become mainstream orthodoxy.…
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Why Urban Nexus ESG Policy Effectiveness Depends on What People Do Every Day
ADAPTED FROM RESEARCH BY MATT WATSON, UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD The urban nexus: infrastructures, politics and spatialities Once upon a time, the world’s most powerful institutions — investment funds managing trillions, multinational corporations with sustainability pledges stretching across continents, and governments crafting net-zero legislation…